#GDP growth
UHERO: Hawaiʻi appears headed for a mild recession
May 9, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
The UHERO second quarter forecast for 2025 reports: “sharp increases in US import tariffs, sweeping federal layoffs, and volatile fiscal and immigration policies are undermining consumer confidence, raising inflation expectations, and worsening the business outlook—both nationally and in Hawaiʻi’s visitor-dependent economy.”