Malika Dudley’s Maui County Forecast (11/06/14)
**A breakdown of expected conditions specific to Maui County is presented below. All graphics are provided by the National Weather Service in Honolulu. Click directly on the image to make it larger.**
Mostly sunny skies are expected today for the leeward areas across Maui County. Scatterd morning showers are in the forecast for windward and mauka areas with partly sunny skies as the day goes on. High temperatures should fall in the range of 85° to 90° with a high of about 73° at 5000 feet. Generally we expect east winds around 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable as the day goes on.
Sunrise: 6:31 a.m.
Sunset: 5:48 p.m.
UV index at 7 (“high” exposure level)
Tonight we should get variable winds up to 15 mph. Isolated showers are expected for windward and mauka areas until about midnight when scattered showers are forecasted. Low temperatures should fall in the range of 70° to 75° with a low of about 51° at 5000 feet.
Moonrise: 6:02 p.m.
Moonset: 7:18 a.m.
Next Full Moon: Today at 12:23 p.m.
Next New Moon: Nov 22, 2014 at 2:33 a.m.
Another front is expected to approach the island chain starting today, this will cut our trade winds off again. At this point the front is expected to impact Maui County on Saturday. Briefly strong trade winds are expected to follow the front.
Surf & Seas
North: Surf is expected in the chest to head high range. Best breaks could see overhead to a couple feet overhead set waves, especially early in the day.
West: Breaks that don’t catch the swells are forecasted to get smaller surf in the ankle high range. Spots that are open to the north-northwest swell should see waist to head high waves. Maybe even overhead from time to time, especially early in the day.
South: Ankle-slappers to possibly thigh high surf is expected.
Our current north-northwest swell (325-355°) is bringing waves in the chest to head high range with some plusses for our best exposures. This swell will begin to fade tomorrow. Maybe an even bigger swell (320-345°) on the horizon for next weekend, possibly peaking with waves well overhead. Typhoon Nuri could possibly bring us a solid swell starting around Nov. 10 and peaking Nov. 11 with waves well overhead for best breaks.
Small swells generated in the South Pacific are expected to bring us waves in the thigh high or less range. You might see possible plusses at the best tides and exposures but they will be inconsistent at best and Maui County spots shadowed by other islands will remain flat. There isn’t much on the horizon out of the South Pacific.
Keep in mind, surf heights are measured on the face of the wave from trough to crest. Heights vary from beach to beach, and at the same beach, from break to break.
Almanac for Kahului Airport
Maximum Temperature for today:
Record 91° / Set in 1950 and tied in 1984 and 1990
Minimum Temperature for today:
Record 61° / Set in 1973 and tied in 2008