West Side

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Highs 77 to 85. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows 69 to 76. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

Veterans Day: Sunny and breezy. Highs 76 to 85. Northeast winds 10 to 25 mph.

South Side

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Highs around 85. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Isolated showers after midnight. Lows 70 to 79. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Veterans Day: Sunny and windy. Highs 82 to 87. Northeast winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 65 mph.

North Shore

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs around 81 near the shore to around 65 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 69 to 74 near the shore to around 57 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Veterans Day: Partly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Breezy. Scattered showers. Highs around 80 near the shore to around 64 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Central Maui

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Highs 80 to 86. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows around 72. Northeast winds around 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Veterans Day: Sunny and breezy. Isolated showers in the morning. Highs 80 to 85. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Upcountry

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Highs around 61 at the visitor center to around 75 at the summit. East winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Breezy. Partly cloudy with isolated showers in the evening, then mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Lows around 51 at the visitor center to around 53 at the summit. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Veterans Day: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon. Highs around 60 at the visitor center to around 76 at the summit. East winds 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

East Maui

Today: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs around 81 near the shore to around 65 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Lows 69 to 74 near the shore to around 57 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Veterans Day: Partly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Breezy. Scattered showers. Highs around 80 near the shore to around 64 near 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Lanai City

Today: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Highs 71 to 80. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows 66 to 72. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph.

Veterans Day: Sunny and windy. Highs 71 to 80. Northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

Kaunakakai

Today: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Highs 68 to 86. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

Tonight: Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the evening, then partly cloudy with isolated showers after midnight. Lows 61 to 76. Northeast winds 10 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Veterans Day: Sunny and breezy. Highs 67 to 85. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Moderate to locally breezy trade winds today will be on the increase tonight, with locally strong winds Wednesday through Thursday as a new high builds north of the state. Clouds and showers will be focused over windward and mauka areas, with some spilling over to leeward areas. Additional windward showers are expected late in the week as a band of moisture moves from north to south across the state. Moderate to locally breezy trades will return over the weekend.

Discussion

The forecast has been nudged to the latest National Blend of Models (NBM), but the overall forecast remains the same. There is increased confidence in an uptick in winds starting tonight, with advisory level winds possible. Several models suggest some areas like the Kohala mountains on the Big Island could see warning level winds tomorrow. The NBM is the model showing the highest winds, but other models also suggest high end advisory or low end warning level.
A high pressure system far to the northwest of the islands is moving to the east. Although the GFS and ECMWF don't strengthen the high, the pressure gradient still tightens as a result of the high moving north of the islands. Winds will be strongest through gaps, and over and downslope of ridges, and the models show the winds strongest over Maui and the Big Island. The global models are showing the strongest winds on the Big Island summits tonight and tomorrow.
A cold and stationary front to the north through northwest of the islands will be partly responsible for an uptick in shower activity later in the week. The boundary will move to the east, and weaken, and the moisture associated with the boundary will then get caught up in the trade wind flow.
Tropical Storm Pena is nearly 800 miles southwest of the islands this morning and continues to move the west, away from the state for the next week.

Aviation

Moderate to locally breezy trade winds today will increase to locally strong trade winds tonight. Showers focused over windward and mauka areas will bring passing MVFR conditions, mainly during the overnight hours and early in the morning.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for moderate turbulence below 7000 feet within the lee of higher terrain. This AIRMET will likely continue through the next several days as locally breezy trade winds persist.

Marine

High pressure will build north of Hawaii through Wednesday. Fresh to locally strong trade winds will become strong across all Hawaiian waters tonight. As a result, the Small Craft Advisory expands in area to cover all coastal waters after 6 PM and has been extended through Wednesday night. Seas are also forecast to exceed 10 feet beginning Wednesday with the arrival of a large north-northwest swell. Meanwhile, a front drops south into the northern offshore waters tonight and weakens to a trough. The trough reaches the central waters by Wednesday night and leads to increased shower activity into Thursday. High pressure will gradually weaken heading into the weekend, and trades will gradually diminish back to fresh to locally strong levels.
A moderate, medium-period bump to northwest swell will fade through Tuesday night. Moderate surf this morning will subside to small levels along north and west facing shores today into tonight. A much larger northwest to north-northwest swell generated by the dynamic fetch of a gale force low near Kamchatka will arrive on Wednesday and may bring warning level surf heights to exposed north and west facing shores as it builds through the day and peaks Wednesday night. Surf will decrease to advisory levels on Thursday as the swell begins to fade and then fall below advisory levels by Friday. A northwest reinforcement is expected to arrive this weekend which could push surf back to advisory levels.
Surf along east facing shores will increase for Wednesday as trade winds strengthen tonight. East shore surf remains elevated and choppy through Friday, then may diminish slightly this weekend. A small, long-period south swell may bring a small bump to south shore surf on Wednesday.

Fire weather

Issued at 358 AM HST Tue Nov 10 2026
Fire weather conditions will remain near critical levels over the next several days, mainly do the uptick in winds tonight that will persist through Thursday. Relative humidity values will decrease to near threshold values Tuesday and Wednesday, and winds are forecast to be close to threshold Wednesday/Thursday. Temperature inversion heights should remain between 6,000 and 8,000 feet from Maui County to the Big Island.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM HST Thursday for Big Island Windward Waters, Kaiwi Channel, Kauai Channel, Kauai Leeward Waters, Kauai Northwest Waters, Kauai Windward Waters, Maui County Leeward Waters, Maui County Windward Waters, Oahu Leeward Waters, Oahu Windward Waters.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Thursday for Alenuihaha Channel, Big Island Leeward Waters, Big Island Southeast Waters, Maalaea Bay, Pailolo Channel.

Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov