Possible Tropical Cyclone Formation This WeekendSeptember 30, 2015, 1:32 AM HST · Updated September 29, 6:34 PM Meteorologist Malika Dudley · 0 Comments
A Small Craft Advisory is posted for all island waters through 6 a.m. Wednesday. East winds up to 30 knots and seas up to 13 feet are expected. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
**Click directly on the images below to make them larger. Charts include: Maui County high/low forecasted temperatures, projected winds, projected localized weather conditions and expected wave heights.**
Breezy winds will continue over the next few days. Expect showers to remain focused over windward areas, with a few isolated showers reaching leeward areas from time to time. Wet and windy weather could start this weekend and continue through early next week.
By Friday, weather models are showing a disturbance digging northeast of the islands, with a possible tropical system forming to the southwest as well. The weather models are all showing some type of development but they differ on placement, strength and track at this time. Uncertainty is very high with regard to the precise impact on our weather. Based on the current models, moisture could increase significantly over the islands as early as Sunday afternoon, and linger into the first part of the week. As we’ve seen throughout hurricane season thus far, a lot can change so I’ll keep an eye on it and bring you the latest.
Today we expect partly cloudy skies and scattered showers in windward and mauka spots. Mostly sunny skies are forecast for leeward spots in Maui County. High temperatures from 86° to 91°. Breezy northeast winds are expected from 15 to 20 mph.
UV index at 10 (“very high” exposure level)
Northeast winds are expected this evening from 15 to 20 mph. Low temperatures from 73° to 78°. Mostly cloudy skies are expected in the evening with scattered showers for windward areas and isolated showers in leeward areas.
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