#National Weather Service

From late Friday through the weekend, island weather will be highly dependent on the track and intensity of a tropical cyclone that is expected to develop far east-southeast of the islands.

None, however, are expected at this time to directly move into or over the Hawaiian Islands. But there is some uncertainty in the forecast early next week because of the possibility of a tropical disturbance forming and passing just south of the state that could bring heavier showers depending on how close it gets.

The public is invited to attend the Maui Emergency Management Agency Disaster Preparedness Expo on Saturday, July 13, from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. at Queen Kaʻahumanu Center in Kahului.

The May 2024 Hawaiʻi Rainfall Summary report shows that Maui County once again had a wide range of rainfall conditions during the month of May. Most of the gauges along the windward slopes had near to above average rainfall, and most of the leeward sites had below average rainfall.

Representatives of fire-related entities from state, national and local levels gathered at Fire Station 14 in Wailea to launch the state’s 8th annual Wildfire and Drought LOOKOUT! campaign on Tuesday.

In the wake of the deadly Maui wildfires, the University of Hawaiʻi is working to develop a new wildfire forecast system using artificial intelligence for the state of Hawaiʻi to enhance public safety, preparedness and risk mitigation.

The 2024 central Pacific hurricane season outlook from forecasters at NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, calls for 1–4 tropical cyclones across the central Pacific Hurricane region. A near-normal season has 4 or 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.

Rain gauges in Maui County recorded near to above-average rainfall so far this year through the end of April, according to a report from the National Weather Service.

The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Advisory for Maui until 9:45 p.m. At 6:36 p.m., radar showed heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms over Upcountry Maui, with rain falling at a rate of up to 2 inches per hour. Additional heavy showers will be possible over the next few hours. Some locations that will experience flooding include: Kahului, Kīhei, Kula, Kēōkea, Pukalani, Makawao, Hāliʻimaile, Wailea, Pāʻia, ʻUlupalakua, Puʻunēnē, Haʻikū-Paʻuwela, Paʻuwela, Māʻalaea, Mākena, Huelo, Keʻanae, Haleakalā National Park, Hoʻokipa Beach Park and Kailua.

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the Big Island Summits, in effect from noon on Friday, May 10 to 6 a.m. on Saturday, May 11, 2024.

The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch for all of the main Hawaiian Islands through 6 a.m. on Saturday, May 11, 2024.

The National Weather Service has issued a Coastal Watch for Maui County. The flood watch is in effect through Monday afternoon for both Oʻahu and Maui counties.

The warning level surf is the result of a large northwest swell that will rapidly build from northwest to southeast down the island chain today.

Without significant flooding in February, drier and more stable weather conditions kept rainfall below average for the month in many areas of the state, including Maui County, the National Weather Service reported.

Trade winds are expected to remain locally strong and gusty through this weekend, accompanied by abundant windward showers, according to the National Weather Service.

Maui County residents can expect wet trade winds with isolated thunderstorms and locally heavy rain, especially in windward areas, through tonight, according to the National Weather Service.

Ongoing El Niño climate conditions have not generated as much dry weather as expected in the Hawaiian Islands, the Hawaiʻi Drought Council reports.

A rapidly moving cold front will bring strengthening northerly winds and wet weather to all Hawaiian Islands as it passes through each island.

A weak cold front just north of Kauaʻi will advance southeast down the island chain today before dissipating near the Big Island Wednesday, according to the latest forecast issued by the National Weather Service. Overcast skies and showery weather is forecast ahead of the front.

A cold front will move down the island chain Monday through Wednesday bringing breezy southwesterly winds and rain, according to the latest forecast issued by the National Weather Service. The NWS is forecasting a second cold front will sweep through the islands from Thursday night and Friday with another round of rain and trade winds “becoming strong behind.”